Contra Trump
肥了自己瘦了美國
In July 1976, summer holiday back in Australia was bracketed by two events: the bicentenary of the American revolution on the fourth of the month and the Tangshan Earthquake on the twenty-eighth.
With friends, I watched America celebrate Fourth of July when passing through Hong Kong, having set out on the long train journey from Shenyang, Liaoning province in China’s northeast, where I was living as an exchange student, a few days earlier. Three weeks later, as I was getting ready to return to China from Sydney, we learned that a calamitous earthquake had struck Tangshan in Hebei province. Arriving in Beijing after days in a ‘hard seat’ carriage of the Guangzhou-Beijing rail line, I learned that all transportation ‘beyond the pass’ 關外, that is outside the Great Wall and thence to the northeast China, would be slow and circuitous. It would also confront travellers with the heartbreaking ruins of towns and villages along the route.
Earlier that month, the international media had reported the celebrations in America with considerable fanfare; in late July, the extent of China’s tragedy, and its vast human toll, was hidden by Maoist propagandists ever anxious to reinforce the myth that even in the face of natural devastation, the Chinese Communist Party remained ‘magnificent, glorious and infallible’ 偉大的、光榮的、正確的.
In 2026, half a century later, Beijing has just proudly marked the 105th anniversary of the founding of the Chinese Communist Party while in America, a conflicted and sombre mood mars the celebration of the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence.
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China Heritage marks 4 July 2026 with a chapter in our Contra Trump series featuring four essays. Two contrasting works by American writers and two by long-term observers, one in the United Kingdom, the other in Australia. But, we start with a speech delivered by Zohran Mamdani, Mayor of New York, and broadcast on the eve of July Fourth.
The Chinese rubric of this chapter in Contra Trump is inspired by a famous expression in the poem ‘To the Tune of As If a Dream: Scattered Rain and Gusts of Wind Last Night’ 如夢令·昨夜雨疏風驟 by Li Qingzhao (李清照, 1084-1155) that reads 綠肥紅瘦, ‘the green [leaves] are full yet the red [flowers] fade’:
如夢令·昨夜雨疏風驟
李清照
昨夜雨疏風驟,濃睡不消殘酒。
試問捲簾人,卻道海棠依舊。
知否,知否。應是綠肥紅瘦。
The Chinese rubric — 肥了自己瘦了美國 — refers to the edacity of the Trump regime and the depletion of America.
— Geremie R. Barmé
Editor, China Heritage
4 July 2026
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Related Material:
- The Dotard State on Donald J. Trump’s Eightieth Birthday
- June Fourth 2026 — Seeds of Fire, the Substrate and the Longest Relay
- The Unhomed — Mourning in the Future Tense

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Not Dead Yet
America’s 250th is a day for celebrating the defiant pulse of the living.
Meghan Houser
The Contrarian
3 July 2026
One might think, given Trump’s propensity to plaster his name on everything, that he’s obsessed with legacy. He is, insofar as it’s the way to advance the game of writing one’s name upon the world (in, as always, the most stupidly literal way possible). But his long-term plan is closer to the opposite of planning for posterity. He cannot creatively envision a future in which he is no longer the main character, except to hate and fear it. He is going un-gently into that good night — and once he’s gone, as far as he’s concerned, everybody’s party might as well be over.
Our president is trying to take America down with him.
There’s been a few years’ worth of chatter around the phenomenon of MAGA’s “death drive,” or “suicide rightism.” What’s with the alt-right love for seppuku-committing ultranationalist author Yukio Mishima? Why did DHS post a video of the penguin who walks off to its seeming doom in Werner Herzog’s Arctic documentary with the caption “Americans have always known why”? Why does Pete Hegseth say “lethality” like it’s not the means but the end? I dismissed some of this (minus Hegseth) as would-be edgy manifestations of masculinity in crisis…until realizing that the commander-in-chief is on the same page, which explains a lot.
What does a death-driven administration look like, aesthetically? It looks like blood sport on the White House lawn. It looks like one failed attempt after another to wrest control of nature, from a paved-over rose garden, to a scum-choked reflecting pool, to a coterie of human bodies shellacked to parodic levels of denial of decay. It looks like the inability to attract crowds for, much less successfully host, anything resembling a celebration of life. The president’s charisma may play on the airing of grievances–to–riot incitement bandwidth, but collective joy is beyond him.
What do such an administration’s policies look like? They look like turning off the lights of knowledge and memory one by one, much like an unspecified 79-year-old sliding into senescence. They look like the antithesis of life: brutality in the streets, inhumane detention conditions, murder. They look like climate change denial and the rapacious stripping of environmental regulations. They look like antagonizing the UN and eliminating USAID, starting tariff wars with allies, and a literal war in the Middle East that scuttles a nuclear détente.
Many watchers have been baffled by Trump’s diplomacy because it is so flagrantly shortsighted; the Occam’s razor explanation is that he does not care about the long term. As though riding one of his once-buddy Musk’s privatized rockets, Trump is getting as far into the stratosphere of kleptocratic wealth as he can by burning through every bit of goodwill/democratic norm/actual hydrocarbon that it took 250 years to produce (or, in hydrocarbon’s case, far longer). Which is fine if you simply do not care about the place or the people you’re leaving behind.
I’m sorry to mark our 250th anniversary by recapping the horrible present. But it’s necessary to put into context just how much this administration has no business celebrating a milestone of national life and evolution, a date that should serve as the springboard for hard-fought, generative discussions about where we’ve been and where we’re going. That’s what anniversaries are for, if used well.
They’re just another date, but in bearing the shape of a pivotal moment, they invite us to remember that we can choose any moment, this one included, to turn in the direction of progress.
The administration has never wanted to look candidly back, and it is becoming increasingly clear that they have no interest in or capacity for looking ahead. The far right is adrift in a curdling fantasy of an America with a past that never existed and a future that even they, it seems, don’t care to stick around for.
Luckily, they do not represent the America that has survived this long.
Here’s what life looks like. It looks like Kansans welcoming Algerians and Minnesotans standing up to ICE. It looks like a Knicks-inspired ode to pluralism and 8 million people marching against kings. It looks like the Seneca Falls Convention, the Emancipation Proclamation, and the March on Washington. It looks like Good Trouble and Stonewall and rock n’ roll. E.B. White defined democracy as, among other things, “the hole in the stuffed shirt through which the sawdust slowly trickles” and “the feeling of vitality everywhere.” That defiant pulse is with us still.
I’ve found myself thinking lately of a poem by Lucille Clifton, “won’t you celebrate with me.” After limning what it is to be a Black woman in this country, the speaker ends with a fierce invocation to celebrate the fact that, every day of her life: “something has tried to kill me / and has failed.”
That’s enough to celebrate this July Fourth. And we have much more. The forces of dull, narrow imagination and greed have failed to take this opportunity for joy and reflection from us (however much they muddle the Reflecting Pool), just as they have failed to take our future. They are the ones passing through and away.
***
Source:
- Meghan Houser, Not Dead Yet, The Contrarian, 3 July 2026

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Requiem for America on the Fourth of July
The con of neoliberalism has gutted our democracy and paved the way for fascism.
Chris Hedges
3 July 2026
Neoliberalism, better understood by its less sanitized term cutthroat capitalism, is the poison that destroyed our democracy. It gave the billionaire class and corporations the ideological cover to impoverish the working class, impose crippling austerity, hollow out democratic institutions, buy off our two ruling political parties and deform our courts into appendages of corporations and the rich.
Neoliberalism drove tens of millions of disenfranchised, desperate people into the arms of Christian fascists, who preyed on their despair and sold them the fantasy of magic Jesus. It drove them into the arms of conspiracy theorists and right-wing charlatans. It drove them down the self-destructive rabbit holes of alcoholism and opioid addiction, compulsive gambling, domestic and sexual violence. These were the inevitable consequences of personal stagnation, disempowerment and feelings of worthlessness, frustration and profound despair.
Neoliberalism ignores the cries of its victims. It dismisses their suffering and rage as irrational, ignorant and racist. It neuters liberal reforms, rendering them cosmetic and useless. Liberal apologists for neoliberalism, no longer concerned with economic justice, retreat into boutique activism. They mouth empty slogans about diversity and political correctness while pretending the relentless class war, unleashed globally since the 1970s, does not exist. The victims of neoliberal deindustrialization, 30 million of whom lost their jobs in the U.S. in mass layoffs, understand that the precarity of their existence does not concern their neoliberal masters.
Right-wing pundits and politicians, such as Donald Trump, who issue crude, vulgar and expletive-laden insults against the traditional neoliberal establishment are celebrated by the disenfranchised for exposing the political charade. These demagogues promise moral and economic renewal for the betrayed, albeit grounded in magical thinking.
Neoliberals peddle their own form of magical thinking. Neoliberalism is as absurd and infantile as the Christian Rapture and Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement. Trump lies like he breathes, but so did previous presidents including Joe Biden, Barack Obama and Bill Clinton. Trump embraces fantasies, but so did they. Trump, like his Democratic predecessors, enriches himself and his family, although with far more ostentation and greed. He, like them, facilitates the ongoing pillage by the billionaire class. Trump is the fascist iteration of the neoliberal con.
Concentrating wealth in the hands of a global oligarchic elite — the twelve richest billionaires own more wealth than the poorest half of the world — is designed to create massive income inequality and monopoly power. It is the antithesis of democratic equality. It is designed to fuel political extremism and foster social and cultural divisions. It is designed to hollow out democratic institutions. Economic rationality is not the point. David Harvey calls neoliberalism “accumulation by dispossession.”
As a ruling ideology, neoliberalism is a brilliant success. Starting in the 1970s, its Keynesian mainstream critics were marginalized or pushed out of academia, state institutions and financial organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. The same is true of the media. Compliant courtiers and intellectual poseurs such as Milton Friedman or New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman were given prominent platforms and lavish corporate funding. They slavishly disseminated the official mantra of fringe, discredited economic theories popularized by Friedrich Hayek and the third-rate writer Ayn Rand.
Once the country was forced to kneel before the dictates of the marketplace, once government regulations were abolished, once taxes on the rich were slashed, once money was permitted to flow across borders, once unions were crushed and once trade deals were signed that sent jobs to sweatshops in Mexico and China, the world, these poseurs assured us, would be happier, freer and wealthier. It was a scam. But it worked. And it fueled the rival con game of the demagogues and fascists who were vomited up out of the moral and political morass.
The media bears much of the blame. In the name of objectivity, better understood as neutrality, it absented itself from the class war. It did not investigate the mounting abuses of the rich, corporations or its bought-and-paid-for political class. It did not expose the absurdity of neoliberalism. It rendered the victims invisible. By shutting themselves out of the debate, the media, a vital pillar of any democracy, neutered itself. It too became despised.
Individual freedom, which neoliberalism holds up as the highest good, and social justice are not compatible. Social justice, Harvey writes in A Brief History of Neoliberalism, requires social solidarity and “a willingness to submerge individual wants, needs, and desires in the cause of some more general struggle for, say, social equality and environmental justice.” Neoliberal rhetoric is able to “split off libertarianism, identity politics, multiculturalism, and eventually narcissistic consumerism from the social forces ranged in pursuit of social justice through the conquest of state power.”
Neoliberalism, as Ece Temelkuran writes in How to Lose a Country: The 7 Steps From Democracy to Fascism, exiles morality from public life. It isolates it in the private space of the individual. It corrals it into “the holding pen of religion” while religion is “clipped and cropped into market-friendly ‘spiritualities.’” Justice and mercy are no longer shared concepts. Personal and public morality are severed. How, she asks, “can we convince people not to commit evil in those realms of public life from which law enforcement is absent?”
“Humans,” she writes, “are incapable of functioning and living together without a good story to bind them and keep a certain set of values intact. That’s why the lack of a story in neoliberalism, the lack of meaning and cause, can be unbearable for the human mind. Since humans are forced to live in a state of mild antipathy — an acceptable amount of antipathy that is crucial to the neoliberal system — they are forever in dire need of a cause, a central triangulation point that they can use to orient themselves in relation to what’s good and what’s bad. The ethical vacuum of neoliberalism, its dismissal of the fact that human nature needs meaning and desperately seeks reasons to live, creates fertile ground for the invention of causes, and sometimes the most groundless or shallowest ones.”
Karl Polanyi in The Great Transformation distinguishes between bad freedoms and good freedoms. Bad freedoms are sacrosanct under neoliberalism. They permit the powerful to exploit workers and the natural world until exhaustion or collapse. Pharmaceutical and health care corporations, for example, jeopardize the lives of those who cannot afford their exorbitant prices. The fossil fuel industry is driving us towards extinction.
Good freedoms — freedom of conscience, freedom of speech, freedom of meeting, freedom of association, freedom to choose one’s job — are snuffed out by bad freedoms. The freedom of the many is transformed into the freedom of the few. The result is fascism.
Fascism uses the blunt instruments of fear, intimidation and violence to curb the mounting disquiet. It divides the country into warring factions — the patriots vs. the enemies of the state. It obliterates shared values. It champions the cruelty of hypermasculinity. Those who dissent are branded domestic terrorists. Civil liberties are abolished in the name of national security.
The 30- to 100-year sentences meted out to eight anti-ICE protesters in Texas, who were portrayed in court as an “antifa terror cell,” are being normalized. A ninth defendant, David Rolando Sanchez Estrada, was not present at the protest, but was sentenced to 30 years after being convicted of concealing documents when he moved a box of political zines and other materials. A second group of defendants in the broader Prairieland case were sentenced on July 1. Six who accepted plea agreements received prison terms ranging from nearly two years to 15 years, while Ines Soto, who rejected a plea agreement and went to trial, received 50 years.
The equation of civil disobedience with terrorism is routine in countries such as Turkey, Russia and India. It is being cemented into place in Europe. A British judge, in a ruling that mirrors what took place in Texas, recently sentenced four members of Palestine Action as terrorists, sending them to prison for five to nine years, even though they were neither charged nor convicted of terrorism offenses.
It does not matter if Donald Trump, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Narendra Modi, Vladimir Putin or Nigel Farage disappear. The tens in of millions of people “fired up by their message will still be there, and will still be ready to act upon the orders of a similar figure,” Temelkuran writes. “And unfortunately, as we experienced in Turkey in a very destructive way, even if you are determined to stay away from the world of politics, the minions will find you, even in your own personal space, armed with their own set of values and ready to hunt down anybody who doesn’t resemble themselves.”
Our country, as we once knew it, no longer exists. It was methodically destroyed by neoliberal con artists. The institutions and legal protections that once shielded us from tyranny no longer function. Those who champion an open society are orphans, smeared as traitors, excoriated as the “radical left.” I mourn what we have lost. I mourn what we are about to lose. This social isolation will soon be physical isolation. We will be criminalized or driven into exile.
Trump and his fascistic cabal, epitomized by billionaires such as Peter Thiel and Elon Musk, are constructing a mafia state. A nation of gangsters and marks. A nation where they alone have unlimited freedom to pillage and exploit. A nation where the government is privatized. A nation where we are enslaved to corporate technology. A nation where we have no place.
We must name our enemies this Fourth of July. They are the fascists who have seized power. And they are those who, selling us the con of neoliberalism, put them there.
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Source:
- Chris Hedges, Requiem for America on the Fourth of July, 3 July 2026

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Ice, Ice Baby: America’s national decline
The 250th anniversary is corrupt, embarrassing and an utter failure. It’s the perfect encapsulation of Trump’s US.
Ian Dunt
3 July 2026
It’s not going well. There are many definitions of failure, but Vanilla Ice has historically been the most widely accepted. In cultures across the world and in different eras, Vanilla Ice has functioned as one of the key metrics for decline, the gold standard measurement for what happens when you’re a gurning cunt.
The ancient Egyptians used to feature him on the inside of a Pharaoh’s tomb. The Normans stitched images of him looming over the battle scenes in the Bayeux Tapestry. It is a rule as old as time: If your country is relying on Vanilla Ice to save its national reputation, then something has gone horribly wrong.
Now he has come again, like Halley’s Comet, to inflict a devastating moment of humiliation on America’s 250th birthday. The problem began when the artists who had been booked to perform at the celebrations realised what was happening. What had been presented to them as an event for the country as a whole was in fact a piece of idol-worship for an insane president.
Seven of the nine musical acts pulled out. “What? What are you talking about?” Freedom Williams said, in a post filmed in a bathroom. “I don’t fuck with Trump… I know where I stand. I know who the fuck I am.”
In the end, and with the lamentations of history, there was just Vanilla Ice and one other act. He posted an Instagram video insisting he was still up for it, circling a pool while trying to quell a sense of growing existential terror. “I’m super honoured to do this concert with everybody,” he said plaintively. But in the end, even this was not possible. The concert had to be cancelled because of the weather.
America’s 250th celebration is a disaster. It is so bad that it has even failed to hold a Vanilla Ice concert.
A Trump speech on the mall last week was sparsely attended. The Great American State Fair, which has taken over downtown Washington, is a debacle. There’s hardly anyone there. Several states declined to send representatives, leaving their booths empty. The air conditioning in several booths stopped working in the middle of a heat wave, forcing them to close down.
Attendees are not allowed to bring food or water and the only shaded space to sit is in a food tent, where visitors can buy a bottle of water for $5, or the Phorm energy drink by Ultimate Fighting Championship president and Trump ally Dana White. On the fair’s first full day, a man was arrested after witnesses saw him filming female performers while vaping, with one hand down his pants.
The US Semiquincentennial stopped being about American history the moment Trump returned to office. At that point it became about corruption. This followed the standard populist pattern, established by Vladimir Putin and VIktor Orban and then replicated across the world. The corruption feeds the political narrative, which then assists with the corruption, in a closed circle of mutual advantage.
A report this week by the Democratic staff of the House of Representatives’ natural resources committee’s oversight and investigations subcommittee documented how this was done.
In 2016, Congress established an independent, non-partisan Semiquincentennial Commission to organise the celebrations. It established America250, which was intended to lead celebrations for everyone, regardless of their political views or the character of the current administration. Financially, it was grounded in the Congressionally chartered National Park Foundation – the official philanthropic partner of the National Park Service. These are old, reliable organisations with heritage and a long-earned sense of public trust.
Then Trump got into power and naturally tried to turn it into a form of emperor worship towards himself. When America250 kicked back against his demands for political propaganda and personal fealty, the White House established Freedom 250 LLC as a wholly owned subsidiary of the National Park Foundation. It allowed Trump and his allies to operate under the credibility and reputation of the brand but avoid any requirement for accountability or transparency.
Funds were surreptitiously diverted, leaving America250 starved of cash. Sources interviewed by Democrats on the committee said prospective America250 donors were actually provided with Freedom 250’s bank details. This would be wire fraud, if America still had a functioning legal system. Sponsorship packages were turned into a classic corruption racket, with people paying $10 million for guaranteed time with Trump, complete with a “historic photo opportunity”.
It then worked to steer funding towards campaign loyalists, in much the same way that Orban would direct funding towards his supporters. Event Strategies, which planned the January 6th rally which preceded the attempted coup, was awarded 18 federal contracts and an indefinite master contract, worth a combined $140 million.
Perhaps the most gauche last-days-of-Rome moment came when an Ultimate Fighting Championship event was held on the South Lawn to celebrate Trump’s 80th birthday. The statue of Abraham Lincoln looked down on the spectacle below and it honestly felt as if his face would twist into disapproval, the nation’s father turning in his grave as his children squandered the constitutional riches he left them.
Quite apart from the sense of cultural degeneracy, it was an act of blatant corruption, run without any sense of shame or concealment. The event was sponsored by companies facing federal regulation. Fighters received bonuses in a cryptocurrency issued by World Liberty Financial, a trust run by Trump’s children, which he holds stocks in.
“Under President Donald Trump, this anniversary has been hijacked and perverted into a hotbed of corruption and self-enrichment,” the Congressional report concluded. “The machinery built for a national commemoration was converted, deliberately and over a period of months, into an apparatus for raising and spending money in service of the president’s ego, political ideology, and pet projects.”
This is the anniversary that America deserves.
I was talking with a friend the other day about the celebrations. He loves America, is fascinated with it, knows its history well, adores its music and its films. His reaction when the subject came up was instantaneous. “They haven’t got a thing to be proud of. They don’t have anything to celebrate.”
We rarely speak about the wave of anti-Americanism sweeping the world. News reports still operate as if America has an assumed leadership role – not just militarily or economically, but culturally. Yet its reputation is tanking. Global polling found that the proportion of people who believed it had an overall positive influence on world affairs fell in 26 out of 29 countries in the six months leading to April. In Britain, one of America’s most reliable allies, just 39% believe it has a positive influence. In France, its oldest ally, it’s 30%. In Canada, its closest ally, it’s 19%.
Four million fewer foreign visitors went to the US in 2025 compared to 2024, with total spending decreasing by more than $8 billion. It’s the worst single-year decline in two decades outside of covid. “We used to be a country that others wanted to emulate,” Juliette Kayyem, faculty chair of the Homeland Security Project at the Harvard Kennedy School, said forlornly. “That narrative no longer exists.”
It is easy to blame Trump, to say that this is not the real America and that he is some a horrible contorted version of its true face. Perhaps it was still possible to hold that view between 2016 and 2020. But by the time he was elected a second time, it was clear that many Americans either approved of what he represented or were sufficiently ambivalent to wave him through.
This point is usually made in relation to the US’ domestic politics. But it is also true about the way that America sees the world. We now have a pretty good impression of how many Americans see us and what they truly think of us. We know that, because Trump is commendably clear. He and JD Vance and Pete Hegseth and the others seem to resent the rest of the world. They admire strongmen leaders, sure, but their allies are there to be bullied, mocked, disparaged and humiliated. When it came to election day, most American voters either approved or didn’t object.
It is hard to square this version of America with the one you experience when you’re there: the nice lady in the queue at the airport who wants to talk about her son-in-law, the eccentric wiseguy taxi driver, the bloke who sits down next to you by the bar and starts up a conversation, the great social openness of the American personality. But we have to accept that this is obviously a core aspect of what the country is. If it wasn’t, it would not be happening.
It is particularly vexing to find that America’s core message to the world is now one of victimhood. Every day, Trump has some new sob story he wants to tell, about how unfair trade is, how much money America spends on the military, why everyone has taken advantage of them. This would be grating from anyone but it is particularly irritating from the US.
This is a country that committed genocide against its indigenous population, enslaved black people, fought a civil war to avoid freeing them, secured superpower status by its late entry into two world wars, sponsored murder and tyranny in some of the poorest countries on earth, and has enjoyed the outrageous benefits of its own global order and world reserve currency. It has vast natural resources and a level of material wealth which is without precedent in the history of man. And what has it done with it? Banked it, enjoyed it, and now complained about what a hard time it’s having.
When Trump imposed his Liberation Day tariffs he took time out to complain about how unfair Vietnam had been to the US. Vietnam, for god sake. I might just keep writing it again and again. Vietnam. Fucking Vietnam. Is there a better example of the state of complete moral myopia which the nation has descended to?
It felt for a while, when I was growing up, that America might occasionally feel a bit of guilt over what it did in Vietnam. We had all those years watching films about the war, some of them among the greatest films of the 20th Century.
But perhaps those films told us something else. Apocalypse Now, Full Metal Jacket, The Deer Hunter. I love many of these films, but none of them were about what happened to the Vietnamese. They were about how massacring Vietnamese people was really difficult for young American men and hurt them very much. There was no real moment of introspection, except that which was pertinent to its own countrymen. And that is how you come to this orange crybaby saying how mean the Vietnamese are to America because the Americans want to buy their stuff.
There’s a better part to the American personality, but you wouldn’t want to rely on it. The horrible reality, and it is one which we shouldn’t shy away from out of mere politeness, is that this is the anniversary which America deserves. It is corrupt, tawdry, embarrassing, a failure. It perfectly encapsulates this moment in the country’s history.
For a long time, Trump imagined this summer would be the pinnacle of his second term. The semiquincentennial would take place at the same time as the World Cup – split between the US, Mexico and Canada – and turn the world’s eyes toward the US, with him upon the throne. He has been building towards this for years.
And yet Trump has not attended any World Cup games. He has not gone to any of the stadiums. And there is, of course, a very good reason for that. It is not safe for him.
He can’t even safely attend basketball matches. When he attended the NBA finals in Madison Square Garden last month, he was loudly booed by the fans. If he went to a World Cup game, things would be much worse. The world has none of the vestigial respect for his head-of-state position which Americans might retain. He would be met by any of a variety of songs. These include, but are not limited to, Australia’s “Aussie boys, we’re on a bender, Donald Trump is a sex offender” and England’s “He’s fat with piles, he’s in the Epstein files, Trump the cunt, Trump the cunt.”
Trump has been completely excluded from the World Cup. What initially felt like an event which would be tainted by his participation has been saved by the fact that he cannot safely attend. His fear of an international crowd has prevented him from securing any reflected glory. All that obsequious boot-licking from Giovanni Infantino, with his imaginary Fifa Nobel peace prize, was for nothing. The moment that the fans became involved, it was clear that they would annihilate Trump’s dignity the moment they were given the chance.
And then the World Cup did what it does. It took the sad, tawdry reality that constitutes it and made it beautiful.
There is no other event like this, in its emotional breadth or its depth. For one brief moment, the world is united in one storyline, which is about how to beat each other by kicking a ball. Absurd, but there we are. During the World Cup, I can message my cousins on the other side of the world and know for a fact that they will be watching the same thing I am watching. There is no other time that this is the case. There is no other moment in which so many countries become fiercely, passionately involved in one narrative. It is the greatest unifying spectacle on earth. And no amount of Fifa corruption or cynical ticket pricing can contradict that.
Then, just for a moment, there was a little ray of hope, a shaft of light: a reminder of a better America.
It came on social media, flowering out from online videos to news reports on TV channels. The people of Boston were evidently delighted by Scottish football fans, who literally drank the city dry. They discovered the mystical Scottish need to steal traffic cones and put them on the heads of statues. Their baseball games – usually genteel family affairs – were turned into raucous singalongs, as Scottish fans just kept on belting out the tunes, indifferent to the usual way of doing things. They mixed with a level of enthusiasm and gregariousness that makes you suspect that, in nine months’ time, a wave of Scottish-American children will be born, constituting a new demographic subgroup in the nation’s patchwork identity.
It wasn’t simply that Boston was delighted by Scotland. It was how delightful it was to watch Boston be delighted. There is something so satisfying and healthy about watching a country enjoy the culture of another country, about watching a country host well. Suddenly the visa requirements and the airport security checks and the threats of ICE agents in stadiums seemed very far away, replaced by the joy of cultures mixing together under the life-affirming influence of beer.
Then visiting fans started posting videos reacting with wonder at American food, and in particular one of the greatest American cultural inventions of the 20th Century: the free refill.
Obviously, it was all highly questionable. Many of these videos were made by people playing a persona, or had been released before the World Cup, or were a bit contrived. But none of that mattered. The medium and the subject matter and even the veracity were unimportant.
All that really mattered was that people from one culture were enjoying something from another culture. America experienced the joy of watching someone arrive and like you. The magic is not in the initial delight, but in our delight at people’s delight. Regardless of how authentic those videos were, America enjoyed seeing itself through another’s eyes. This was a better place than the one we’d seen recently, somewhere that still wanted to be open and welcome and charming.
For a moment, you wondered if it might have some effect. Isn’t it pleasant, being liked rather than being hated? Isn’t it far better to treat other countries nicely and have them treat you nicely in return? Isn’t there a better, more dignified and joyous way to behave, than the manner in which you have been recently? What happened to the version of America that was open to the world? The America the world wanted to visit?
We can’t pretend that the World Cup will fix these problems, or that this is any more than a passing glimmer of light. But it is a reminder, at least, that there is a better America in there somewhere, underneath all that vicious victimhood and unconcealed aggression.
Its return can’t come quickly enough.
***
Source:
- Ian Dunt, Ice, Ice, Baby: America’s National Decline, 3 July 2026

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Aussies Officially Hate Trump’s Fucking Guts.
The 2026 Lowy Institute Poll isn’t a survey. It’s a nation of 27 million people telling their oldest mate to get absolutely fucked. Grab a beer. This one’s personal.
GMan
3 July 2026
There’s a number in the 2026 Lowy Institute Poll that every staffer in the West Wing should have stapled to their forehead.
79.
That’s the percentage of Australians who do NOT have confidence in Donald Trump to do the right thing in world affairs. Seventy-nine per cent. In the 22-year history of the Lowy Poll, no American president has ever been distrusted like this. Not Dubya at peak Iraq. Not Trump Mark I, which we all assumed was rock bottom. Turns out rock bottom had a trapdoor, and the trapdoor opens straight into the grease trap behind the Mar-a-Lardo kitchen.
And it gets better. 60% of Australians didn’t just tick “not much confidence.” They ticked “no confidence AT ALL.” The strongest option on the form. The polling equivalent of writing “get fucked” in the comments box, in texta, underlined twice.
Let me translate 79% for the American readers, because your media won’t. 79% of Australians wouldn’t trust this man to watch their beer while they went to the dunny. 79% of Australians wouldn’t invite the Mango Mussolini to a shithouse backyard BBQ if he brought his own screw-worm-riddled American steaks and a slab. And given your cattle industry is currently fighting off actual flesh-eating screw worms while ours is clean, that joke writes itself, sends itself, and does its own bloody encore.
To put 79% in perspective: you cannot get 79% of Australians to agree on anything. Not the date of Australia Day. Not rugby league versus AFL. Not whether Sydney or Melbourne is more insufferable. But this convicted felon united 4 out of 5 of us in the shared, settled conviction that he cannot be trusted to do the right thing. That’s not a polling result. That’s a bloody referendum.
Before some flog cries “fake news”
The Lowy Institute is not some inner-city latte sipping collective. It’s the most establishment, sandstone-and-cufflinks foreign policy shop in the country, and it has asked Australians the same questions for 22 consecutive years. It has receipts going back to 2005. And the receipts say:
69% of Australians no longer trust the United States to act responsibly in the world. Sixty-nine per cent. The worst result ever recorded. In 2022, only 35% of us felt that way. The gap between trust in America and trust in China was 53 points four years ago. It is now 3 points. THREE. One decent news cycle from parity with the Chinese Communist Party. That is where 8 decades of mateship now sits: a bee’s dick above Beijing.
And Pew Research backs it with a sledgehammer: 76% of Australians now view the United States unfavourably. Across 36 countries and 42,151 people surveyed, 76% of the planet has no confidence in Trump, and there is not one single frikken country on Earth where opinion of him improved. Not one. He is the first president in the history of modern polling to achieve unanimous global depreciation, like a Cybertruck rolling off the lot directly into a tree.
“In 2026, the liberal international order has been replaced by something illiberal, nationalistic, and disorderly.” – Michael Fullilove, Executive Director, Lowy Institute
Now let’s talk about the betrayal, because that’s what this is
Australians are not fair-weather friends. We are, historically, the most pathologically loyal ally the United States has ever had, and I mean that as both a compliment and a diagnosis.
Every war. EVERY single one. Korea. Vietnam, when half your own allies told you to jam it. The Gulf. Afghanistan for 20 years. Iraq, on intelligence flimsier than a servo sausage roll. We are the only country on Earth to invoke ANZUS, and we did it FOR YOU, after September 11. We buried 41 of our kids in Afghan dirt for your war. We host Pine Gap. We park your marines in Darwin, the same Darwin the Japanese bombed 64 times while we held the line in the Pacific together. When America whistled, Australia turned up. Every. Single. Time. No other nation on the planet has that record. Not Britain. Not Canada. Nobody.
And what did 80 years of blood-signed loyalty buy us?
Tariffs. Slapped on a mate running a trade DEFICIT with you, you economically illiterate mongrel. Threats against Denmark, another ally, over Greenland, which 9 in 10 Australians disapprove of, and when 90% of this country agrees on something you should check the sky for the Four Horsemen. A war with Iran that sent our petrol prices through the roof, handled so catastrophically that 8 in 10 Australians disapprove of the campaign, including our own Defence Force personnel dragged along on an AUKUS training rotation into YOUR shooting war. And through all of it, not one syllable of respect. Just a jaundiced karaoke dictator standing on the world stage telling the countries who bled for America that they’re freeloaders.
We showed up to every fight you ever picked, and you treated us like a bin chicken at a wedding. Australians aren’t drifting away from America. Australians are PISSED. There’s a difference, and every word of this poll screams it. 51% of us now say Australia should actively distance itself from the United States under this president. From the country whose wars our grandfathers died in. Do you have the faintest bloody idea what it takes to move that number in Australia? It takes betrayal. Nothing else does it.
The bit the numpties will get wrong
Every drongo with a podcast will read this as “Australia goes soft, cosies up to China.” Bollocks. Read the data.
73% of us still back the alliance. 68% back the nuclear submarines. Half of us would spend MORE on defence. Majorities would sanction China over Taiwan (69%), arm Taiwan (61%), even send the Royal Australian Navy to help break a blockade (60%). And 62% of us still reckon China is likely to be a military threat within 20 years. Nobody in this country is writing love letters to Beijing. Xi Jinping polls at 20% confidence here, which brings us to the single most humiliating statistic in the entire poll:
Donald Trump: 21%. Xi Jinping: 20%. JD Vance: 20%.
The President of the United States is polling ONE point above the general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party with the most loyal ally America has ever had. One point. That’s not a lead, that’s a margin of error with a comb-over. The leader of the free world and the bloke running a one-party surveillance state are, to Australian eyes, functionally the same amount of untrustworthy. Eighty years of shared blood, and he pissed it down to a coin flip against an actual autocrat.
“Support for Australia’s alliance with the United States has held up, even though confidence in President Trump has cratered.” – Charles Lyons-Jones, Lowy Institute
“Australians are highly capable of holding two conflicting truths in their heads at the same time.” – Charles Lyons-Jones, Bloomberg, June 2026
That second quote is the most quietly savage thing said on financial television this year, because the unspoken back half is: unlike the President of the United States, who’s flat out holding one.
We can separate the institution from the imbecile. We honour the alliance while despising its current custodian, the way you’d still love the family home even after some squatter filled the pool with grievances and set the shed on fire for insurance. But patience is not permanence, and for the first time in the history of the poll, 51% of Australians say the relationship with China matters more than the relationship with the US. Not because we love China. Because over $300 billion in two-way trade doesn’t slap tariffs on us and then demand a thank-you card, you absolute weapons.
Meanwhile, in our own backyard
Here’s the strategic own-goal that should have Foggy Bottom’s remaining 6 adults drinking at their desks: for the first time, more Australians say China holds the most influence in the Pacific (39%) than say Australia does (33%). Our backyard. Where we’ve stumped 38% of all regional aid over 15 years to China’s 9%. Beijing is winning the perception war without lifting a finger, because why would they bother? Every time Xi needs a win, the human tariff walks to a podium and hands him one gift-wrapped. Xi’s confidence rating with Australians went UP 4 points this year, and the man did precisely bugger all to earn it except stand quietly next to the bin fire.

You know who Australians actually trust? Mark Carney: 66%, top of the table. Luxon: 65%. Japan: trusted by 89% of us. Germany: 83%. The UK: 81%. See the pattern, plain as a dog’s proverbials? Australians didn’t stop trusting the world. The world’s grown-ups are doing fine. We stopped trusting HIM. This is a single-occupant trust recession, and the occupant has a spray tan.
The Tally: What 4 Years of This Prick Bought
2022: Australians who distrust the US: 35%. Trust gap over China: 53 points, America’s way. Pacific influence: ours. Wanting distance from America: fringe position. The alliance: bedrock, no questions asked.
2026: Australians who distrust the US: 69%, worst ever. Australians with no confidence in the president: 79%, worst of ANY president in 22 years. Viewing America unfavourably: 76%. Disapproving of his Iran campaign: 80%. Disapproving of the Greenland shakedown: 90%. Trust gap over China: 3 points. Pacific influence: China 39, Australia 33. Wanting distance from the US: 51%, a majority. Trump versus Xi on trust: 21 to 20, a photo finish with a dictator.
One column took 80 years, two oceans of shared blood, and 103,000 Australian war dead to build. The other took one bitter old conman with a Sharpie, a grudge, and 18 months of his second term.
The alliance survives, for now, because Australians know the difference between a nation and its temporary tenant. But hear this clearly, Washington, because your most loyal mate on Earth is saying it through gritted teeth: we turned up to every fight you ever had. Every one. And 79% of us have now looked at the man you chose, twice, and concluded we wouldn’t trust him to hold the tongs.
America used to ask what Australia would ever do without them.
The 2026 Lowy Poll just answered with the better question: what the fuck does America do when even AUSTRALIA, the mate who never once left early, quietly starts checking the planet for other friends?
The Aussie-to-Yank Word Unravelling Index
A standing feature for our American readers, who keep emailing to ask what the bloody hell half these words mean. Australian and American are technically the same language, in the way a backyard Hills Hoist and an American tumble dryer are technically laundry solutions: you’ll get there, just with completely different emotional damage.
Shithouse: adjective meaning terrible, and noun meaning an outdoor toilet. A shithouse BBQ is therefore either a bad barbecue or a barbecue held at a toilet, and in Trump’s case we mean both, simultaneously, with catering by the man himself.
Slab: a case of 24 beers. The minimum entry fee to any Australian gathering. No, your screw worm steaks do not count as a contribution, Donald.
Dunny: toilet. As in “wouldn’t trust him to watch my beer while I went to the dunny,” the lowest bar of trust known to Australian science, and he’s under it.
Texta: a marker pen. What 60% of Australians metaphorically used to tick “no confidence at all.”
Bin chicken: the Australian white ibis, a once-noble wetlands bird now famous for headfirst dumpster diving. A majestic creature reduced to scavenging through rubbish, which is also a serviceable summary of American foreign policy since January 2025.
Weapons: idiots of unusual calibre. Paradoxically an insult. “You absolute weapons” is reserved for those whose stupidity achieves ballistic velocity.
A bee’s dick: the smallest measurable distance in the Australian imperial system. Currently the gap between trust in America and trust in China. Congratulations.
Tongs: the sacred instrument of BBQ authority. Trusting someone to hold the tongs is the highest honour Australia bestows. 79% of us have voted no.
Checking the fixture: looking at the schedule to see who else is playing. What allies do when their so-called best mate keeps no-showing and sending invoices.
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Source:
- IFLA, Aussies Officially Hate Trump’s Fucking Guts, 3 July 2026
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